WP7: OPEN:EU Scenario Quantification Report: Scenarios for a One Planet Economy
This report presents the methodology and results of scenario quantification undertaken in parallel to the development of One Planet Economy Network scenario narratives (the OPEN:EU scenarios).
Using the EUREAPA tool, the four OPE scenarios were quantified to explore the influence of different policy approaches on the EU’s carbon, ecological and water footprints and identify policy approaches that have the greatest influence.
The results are staggering. Firstly “no scenario was able to achieve sufficient reduction to achieve footprints within… environmental limits” which challenges the idea that our economies can continue to grow while simultaneously reducing our environmental impacts. Secondly, the notion that we can simply decarbonise our economies as the sole way out of this mess raises further questions about current political fixations.
Decarbonisation of the electricity supply must be supplemented by production efficiency and resource sufficiency measures. Finally, the quantification report leads us to the plain fact that we are all in this together and that simply working on a domestic approach is not enough. All of these options also need to be replicated outside of the EU.